Germany risks ‘squandering’ growth from debt bazooka, warn top advisers - FT中文网
登录×
电子邮件/用户名
密码
记住我
请输入邮箱和密码进行绑定操作:
请输入手机号码,通过短信验证(目前仅支持中国大陆地区的手机号)。如果该手机号尚未注册,将自动创建 FT中文网账号。短信可能需要几分钟送达,验证码15分钟内有效,请耐心等待:
请您阅读我们的用户注册协议和隐私权保护政策,点击下方按钮即视为您接受。
德国

Germany risks ‘squandering’ growth from debt bazooka, warn top advisers

German Council of Economic Experts downgrades economic growth forecast for 2026 to 0.9%
00:00

{"text":[[{"start":10.24,"text":"The German economy will only slowly recover from more than four years of stagnation as Chancellor Friedrich Merz risks bungling his €1tn debt-funded investment drive, the country’s top economic advisory body has warned."}],[{"start":27.979999999999997,"text":"In a scathing assessment of Berlin’s spending plans, the German Council of Economic Experts — which provides independent advice to the government — said the country’s GDP growth would edge up from 0.2 per cent this year to only 0.9 per cent in 2026, below the government’s projection of 1.3 per cent."}],[{"start":52.01,"text":"The five-member panel of academic economists warned the implementation of Merz’s fiscal push, intended to boost defence and infrastructure, needed “significant improvement” and that under the plans “substantial funds are replacing regular budget expenditures”."}],[{"start":70.78999999999999,"text":"Some of the new fiscal leeway was being used to pay for “dubious measures” such as higher pensions for non-working mothers and bigger tax incentives for commuters, the council said in a 600-page annual economic report presented at a press conference in Berlin on Wednesday afternoon."}],[{"start":90.82999999999998,"text":"“The opportunities arising from [the debt-funded investment funds] must not be squandered,” said the council’s chair Monika Schnitzer."}],[{"start":99.47999999999999,"text":"The criticism echoes similar concerns raised by the Bundesbank and two economic think-tanks that a sizeable portion of the government’s debt-funded investment is being used for areas that should be funded from the ordinary budget."}],[{"start":114.80999999999999,"text":"Under current spending plans, roughly half of the borrowing that is supposed to be used for additional investment will, in fact, be spent on government consumption, the council’s calculations show."}],[{"start":127.50999999999999,"text":"“The positive macroeconomic effects under the current spending path remain limited,” it said, adding that government debt could nonetheless rise to more than 85 per cent of GDP by 2035, compared with 63 per cent this year."}],[{"start":145.95,"text":"Unless the government changed tack, “growth opportunities could be lost, and the long-term debt sustainability of the German state could be jeopardised”, the report said."}],[{"start":157.63,"text":"The council also warned the nation’s manufacturing base “is increasingly falling behind” its global competitors."}],[{"start":165.23,"text":"When taking delivery of the report in Berlin, Merz stated his coalition was determined to increase Germany’s long-term growth potential by increasing investment, cutting red tape and lowering taxes. “We are striving to fundamentally improve the economic situation,” he said, adding the country’s growth “has been too weak for many years”."}],[{"start":190.07,"text":"The finance ministry has previously rejected the criticism levelled at it by the country’s central bank and think-tanks, including the German Economic Institute and Ifo, arguing that its budgets were in line with rules set out when the country this year loosened its constitutional borrowing limit for infrastructure and defence spending."}],[{"start":214.54999999999998,"text":"The council’s forecast for GDP growth next year is 0.1 percentage points lower than its last estimate in May, although its 2025 projection has improved from its previous prediction of zero growth."}],[{"start":null,"text":""}],[{"start":237.72,"text":""}]],"url":"https://audio.ftcn.net.cn/album/a_1762993842_7159.mp3"}

版权声明:本文版权归FT中文网所有,未经允许任何单位或个人不得转载,复制或以任何其他方式使用本文全部或部分,侵权必究。

波兰克拉科夫枪击事件致6人死亡

波兰总理唐纳德•图斯克呼吁政界人士不要利用这一事件。
11分钟前

欧洲是否开始认真摆脱对科技的依赖?

布鲁塞尔虽方向正确,仍可更有力地推动各国政府行动。

AI将削减管理人员编制

接下来可能连他们的薪级也要重估。

加密货币行业准备面对与特朗普关系引发的追责

民主党在中期选举中大获全胜后,誓言将调查总统家族。

“激进左派”抢占头条,但温和派主导新一届美国国会

在中期选举的民主党蓝色浪潮中胜选的多数人都是温和派。

苹果将利润记入新加坡,节税27亿美元

根据最新披露,这个城邦取代爱尔兰,成为iPhone制造商最大的避税地。
设置字号×
最小
较小
默认
较大
最大
分享×